Middle East > Armenia > Demographic problem in Armenia

Armenia: Demographic problem in Armenia

2014/11/19

Demographic problem in Armenia has become additional dangerous since it announced its independence from the Soviet Union in 1991. The total people of the post-Soviet national has decreased about 600,000 over the last 20 years.

The former Chief of Armenia's Central Bank Bagrat Asatryan said most of the Armenians preferred to go to distant corners of the world, inclunding the U.S., Australia and as a result lose all their connections with relatives in Armenia.

"The new census data of the Soviet period has put the total people of the country at 3.5 million people. But the recent statement said approximately 2.8 million people leave in today's independent Armenia," Asatryan noted.

Asatryan said the common demographic crisis in Armenia is characterized by 600,000 loss of people over the last 20 years.

Index Mundi, a data portal that gathers facts and statistics from multiple sources, reported the people increase rate to be -0.13 % in Armenia in 2014. The source said the birth rate in the South Caucasus national was 13.92 per 1,000 people.

Armenia's Health Ministry said the increase of people has dropped by 4.5 times in the country since 1990s and it is expected to decrease by 2030.

Asatryan added that the real number of Armenia's people is about 2.5 million today. "The difference between birth and death rates has almost disappeared in our country over the last 20 years and forced us to lose nearly 200,000 people," he said.

He went on to say that Armenia's people is aging, as the number of residents in and over retirement age exceeds the number of people in reproductive age. Asatryan noted that the number of young people was much additional higher than the number of elderly people in Armenia during the Soviet period.

"The government needs to assess the results of this tragic problem. What will happen if the demographic crisis goes the same way?" he said.

The UN People Fund Executive Representative Gagik Hayrapetyan has before said that Armenia was one of the world's top nations with an aging people, as 13 % of its country are aged 60 and above. According to the UN classification, a country is considered as old at the same time as the in general number of elderly residents exceeds 7% .

Asatryan compared Armenia to its regional neighbors in terms of the demographic indicators, saying Armenia is the only country in the region, which is going to completely lose its natural people increase.

"Azerbaijan's people surpasses the total people of Armenia by three times. Georgia has managed to increase its people by 20 % over the last 5 years. Moreover, vast majority of Georgia's residents see their next in their native country. But what about Armenia? Nearly 80-84 % of the youth want to leave our country to earn their life abroad. Emigration from Georgia is less than that of in Armenia," Asatryan said.

Low fertility, aging and emigration are the major faces of Armenia's demographic crisis.

The National Statistical Service reported the fertility rate was 1.6 children per woman, while the figure should be 2.1 and higher to prove the simple reproduction of people. The total mortality rate increased by 13.3% over the last 10 years in Armenia, urging the the National Statistical Service to estimate its people to be 2.9 million in 2035.

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