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Mexico: Mexico Communication Profile 2012

2012/03/20

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Mexico Communication Profile 2012

08/11/2010 Mexico has strong trade ties with the United States, the economic climate of the country following the economic life of the United States. Main importer of Mexico and export partners are the United States, where, when the U.S. is in recession, Mexico tends to follow. The U.S. economy has declined by about 3% in Q3 2008, more than 5% in Q4 2008 and another 6% in Q1 2009. As expected, Mexico's economy followed suit with a negative growth of 1% for the fourth quarter of 2008 and negative growth for each of the first three quarters of 2009 to about 7%, 10% and 6% respectively. At the end of 2009 Mexico's economy contracted by 6.5%, its worst recession since 1932.

With regard to the telecommunications industry in particular, the growth of the industry has long exceeded the broader economic growth. annualized growth for the nine months to September 30, 2009 was a healthy 13% compared to a contraction in GDP of 9%, but this was almost half the rate of growth of the sector for the previous year. In fact, in 2009, the telecommunications sector has experienced its lowest rate since 2002. The outlook for 2010/11 is for industry to stay in a double-digit annual growth in the mid-teens and is expected to take between 24 to 48 months before the return of the sector to a fast pace twenty -something percentage points of growth it has enjoyed in 2004/05 and 2007/08.

The auction of wireless spectrum scheduled for mid-2010 should spur growth and competition in the mobile market and facilitate the launch of the next generation of mobile technology. The prevalence of mobile phones over fixed lines, spread throughout Latin America, is expected to continue in Mexico. The field of satellite TV broadcasting will continue to enjoy robust growth in 2010/11 with recent entrants dishes Mexico is growing rapidly and customer regulatory approval for a third competitor to enter the market. Similarly, cable television companies continue to fuel the growth of VoIP and triple play services.

This report contains an overview of statistics and analysis detailed the Mexican fixed telephone, mobile markets and broadband, including developments in emerging technologies such as broadband wireless and Voice over IP and forecasts scenario for fixed telephony, mobile and broadband.


Market Overview:

  • During 2009 and early 2010 the telecommunications industry in Mexico has continued to grow at double digits, despite the deep economic recession.
  • Mexico remains the last OECD countries remains to unbundle the local loop. Thus, despite liberalization, Telmex still dominates the fixed-line market, with nearly 90% of the lines. Thus, Mexico's growth in fixed lines has steadily declined over the past eight years, the annual growth of 13% in 2000 to a negligible growth in 2009. Therefore, the teledensity in early 2010 continued to languish at about 18%, about average for Latin America. In addition, there are significant disparities in the penetration of fixed lines between urban and rural areas.
  • The mobile sector remains a key driver of growth in the telecommunications industry. Driven by a booming GSM sector, the mobile industry in Mexico has increased to about 17% per year, achieving over 80% penetration in early 2010.
  • In early 2010, the sister company of Telmex, América Móvil (Telcel), still accounted for about 72% of mobile market. However, 2010 promises to bring a change in the competitive landscape with 3G and WiMAX spectrum auction offers the chance for a new entrance building and rivals such as Telefonica Movistar. In addition, the proposed acquisition by media giant Grupo Televisa of a stake in Nextel de Mexico, which, if it occurs, add significant resistance to the fourth placed competitor.
  • Broadband is the other main driver of growth in the telecommunications market in Mexico. Both cable modem and ADSL has continued to enjoy strong subscriber growth in 2009 at a combined average growth rate of about 35%. Telmex's ADSL product, Prodigy Infinitum, showed very high growth rate for the year and should continue to do so during 2010/11.
  • The main cable TV providers, Megacable, Cablemás and Cablevision, made strong gains by successfully encourage the purchase of kits triple play of cable TV, broadband and telephony. Consequently, their base of broadband subscribers in particular the number of VoIP subscribers is growing healthy in 2009 and early 2010.
  • Despite the economic downturn, it is predicted that growth in 2009 will remain at double-digit broadband because there is still significant scope for further growth given broadband pT
  • The market for DTH satellite television enjoyed some of its strongest growth rate over the decade, after the entry into Mexico City in November 2008 at Dish. In 2010 the sector's growth should remain strong, especially if Axtel is using its regulatory approval to become the third largest supplier of satellite television.
  • The statements of Telmex and Telcel CFC as the dominant players in the fixed and mobile telephony sector, respectively, to open the way for greater regulation of these companies, On the regulatory front. Political maneuvering continues to characterize the regulatory sector. For example, in early 2009 when Cofetel interconnection regulations issued new (known as PTFII) requiring all operators to provide third party access, Telmex responded by reducing investment planned in 2009 by one third .
  • Requires greater independence and regulatory power to be able to properly develop a more competitive market. Calls for increased competition in the sector continue to mount. It seems more likely than ever when, in early 2010, the Calderon government has reiterated its willingness to adopt legislation to strengthen the power of regulations and regulators.

 

Convergence Broadband and Internet Market
Broadband is one of the highest growth sectors in Mexico's telecommunications market, the revenue of which remained in double digit growth for the fourth quarter of 2008 despite the broader economy posting negative growth for that period. For instance, Telmex's ADSL product, Prodigy Infinitum, continued to post very strong growth rates during 2008. The main cable TV providers, Megacable, Cablemes and Cablevisien, have begun to incentivise the purchase of triple play bundles of cable TV, broadband and telephony, and as a result their broadband subscriber base and in particular their VoIP subscriber numbers witnessed healthy growth during 2008. Nevertheless, there is significant scope for additional growth as Mexico's broadband penetration is merely around one-quarter of the OECD average. In the DTH satellite market, the entry in November 2008 of Dish Mexico brings long overdue competition to this sector.


Fixed-Line Market and Infrastructure - Overview and Statistics
The fixed-line market in Mexico has enormous potential for growth. Overall teledensity stands at 19%, which is about average for Latin America, but there are huge disparities between urban and rural areas, ranging from 41% teledensity in the Federal District, to 5.6% in the poor, mainly Indian state of Chiapas. Despite liberalisation and growing competition, Telmex still dominates the fixed-line market. VoIP has gained huge popularity, especially with small and medium sized businesses. Several companies offer VoIP services, although providers have the same licensing requirements as other voice carriers, and many be shut down for operating illegally.


Key Statistics Telecom Market and Regulatory Overview
Mexico is the only OECD country yet to implement local loop unbundling. Basic telephony is still practically a monopoly, with Telefonos de Mexico (Telmex) holding around 89% of all lines in service. Telmex's sister company, America Mevil, dominates the cell-phone sector through its unit Telcel, which has around 72% of the cellular market. In addition, Cofetel still requires greater independence and regulatory power in order to be able to properly foster a more competitive market. Calls for increased competition in the sector continue to mount. Thus, the competition agency, the CFC, announced separate investigations into the fixed-line, cellular and broadband sectors. Regulatory gamesmanship continues to typify the sector. For instance, in early 2009 when Cofetel published new interconnection regulations (known as PTFII) requiring all operators to provide third party access, Telmex responded by cutting planned investments in 2009 by a third.


Mobile Market - Overview and Statistics
Driven by a booming GSM sector, Mexico's mobile industry is growing at a yearly rate of approximately 17% per annum, achieving more than 70% penetration by the end of 2008. Mexico's mobile market is the most dynamic sector in the telecommunications industry, which remains in double figure revenue growth despite the broader economy entering a period of recession. The implementation of mobile number portability in mid-2008 together with the planned wireless spectrum auctions in early 2009 are expected to boost competition in the mobile market and facilitate the launch of next generation mobile technology.

Telecoms Market Statistics & Forecasts
The Mexican telecom industry is developing rapidly and has enormous growth potential, making it one of the most interesting telecom markets in the world. The most dynamic sectors are mobile telephony and the Internet, while fixed-lines are growing slowly. There have been complaints that, despite liberalisation, the basic telephone market is monopolised by incumbent Telmex, with around 95% market share, while the mobile market is dominated by Telmex's sister company America Mevil, with around 79% market share. Regulations issued in 2004, 2005, and 2006 aim to spur competition and reduce consumer prices.
 

Internet country code: 

.mx

Communications note: